Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.206021 1.363104 1.534779 1.736628 1.967841 2.224856 2.532813
2025-12-21 0.942544 1.143627 1.380966 1.682917 2.058483 2.512339 3.105538
2025-12-28 0.820376 1.055091 1.350306 1.751508 2.286580 2.981246 3.960556
2026-01-04 0.725228 0.979256 1.316288 1.800731 2.486695 3.434416 4.862346
2026-01-11 0.649585 0.914578 1.282739 1.838406 2.667746 3.878572 5.815097
2026-01-18 0.585587 0.855218 1.245309 1.860113 2.821890 4.297659 6.789630
2026-01-25 0.520613 0.784954 1.181169 1.829864 2.887846 4.584946 7.594389
2026-02-01 0.455521 0.706140 1.093578 1.749496 2.859427 4.711668 8.143739
2026-02-08 0.407801 0.648728 1.032102 1.701886 2.875473 4.909014 8.839083
2026-02-15 0.369170 0.601567 0.981463 1.665039 2.902780 5.125338 9.596933
2026-02-22 0.352271 0.588359 0.985127 1.721162 3.100158 5.670392 11.065073
2026-03-01 0.332123 0.567372 0.972910 1.746674 3.242980 6.130528 12.437121
2026-03-08 0.304750 0.532229 0.934267 1.722906 3.296526 6.440223 13.585541
2026-03-15 0.276591 0.493078 0.884692 1.673102 3.293408 6.638257 14.535406
2026-03-22 0.267105 0.487195 0.895808 1.742787 3.542425 7.398266 16.906090
2026-03-29 0.255826 0.476734 0.896992 1.792414 3.756043 8.115197 19.322316
2026-04-05 0.244143 0.464273 0.892839 1.830190 3.948821 8.815318 21.843020
2026-04-12 0.231787 0.449240 0.881897 1.851916 4.108202 9.462502 24.364142
2026-04-19 0.215500 0.424746 0.849163 1.821865 4.143069 9.814705 26.163029
2026-04-26 0.196200 0.392353 0.796890 1.741902 4.047908 9.828321 27.012637
2026-05-03 0.181565 0.368479 0.760558 1.694526 4.026364 10.027567 28.448157
2026-05-10 0.169125 0.348228 0.730229 1.657856 4.026876 10.285305 30.118619
2026-05-17 0.164962 0.345489 0.738171 1.713716 4.273103 11.249088 34.221494